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The Keys to the White House: A Surefire Guide to Predicting the Next President, 2008 Edition | 
 enlarge | Author: Allan J. Lichtman
Publisher: Rowman & Littlefield Publishers, Inc.
Category: Book
List Price: $14.95
Buy Used: $4.24
You Save: $10.71 (72%)
New (22) Used (22) from $4.24
Rating:  9 reviews
Sales Rank: 897574
Media: Paperback
Edition: 2008 Ed
Pages: 216
Number Of Items: 1
Shipping Weight (lbs): 0.7
Dimensions (in): 8.9 x 5.9 x 0.7
ISBN: 0742562700
Dewey Decimal Number: 324
EAN: 9780742562707
ASIN: 0742562700
Publication Date: February 28, 2008
Availability: Usually ships in 1-2 business days
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Product Description
Prominent political analyst and historian, Allan J. Lichtman, presents thirteen historical factors, or keys, that have successfully predicted the outcome of presidential elections from 1860 to 2004.
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| Customer Reviews: Read 4 more reviews...
 Excellent Book July 21, 2008
Thomas P. Carlsson (Gainesville, Florida United States)
I really enjoy the book. Service was excellent and I recieved the book before the schedule date for it arrival. The book is well worth the price of the book. The book is well written and very informative. This book help me to really understand how elections are decided and who is going to win the election. excellent job Mr. Lichman. I would highly recommand this book Keys to the White House to anyone who really wants to know what elections are about
Dear Richard March 19, 2008
S. Lichtman
0 out of 3 found this review helpful
Dear Richard, Your review of Keys to the White House reminds me of someone else who is very important in history. His first name was Adolf. He also told the people of his country to "avoid" certain people at all costs.
Maybe that was a bit harsh. Perhaps we should just burn all of Allan's past and future books. Then that would leave Allan and his supporters. What would you do with them?
I think that you and others have taken the First Amendment a bit too far.
Then again, fortunately, you are not anyone of any significance. that I know of.
The System Is Perfect So Far March 9, 2008
Eric Mayforth (Houston, TX United States)
I bought a prior edition of this book in 1996 and it completely changed the way I followed presidential politics.
Professor Lichtman has devised a system for predicting the outcome of presidential elections. He posits that there are 13 conditions, which he calls "keys", that have an impact on whether the incumbent party will retain the presidency or whether the challenging party will take over. If eight or more of the keys line up in favor of the incumbent party, the party in power stays in power; if seven or fewer of the keys line up in favor of the incumbents, the White House changes hands.
The keys have accounted accurately for the results of each of the 37 presidential elections held in the United States since 1860.
The fact that the system almost failed several times suggests that someday the keys will not predict an election accurately. James Garfield just barely won in 1880 despite having just four keys turned against him; Richard Nixon just barely lost in 1960 even though he had a staggering nine keys against him; Hubert Humphrey just barely lost in 1968 despite having had eight keys against him; and Gerald Ford just barely lost in 1976 even though eight keys were turned against him.
Even George W. Bush might have won the popular vote in 2000 even though only five keys were against Al Gore, if the networks had not made their bogus Florida projection and had not rushed to call states for Gore on Election Night, while carefully deliberating before awarding Bush his states on Election Night, in order to try to create a bandwagon effect by making it seem as though a Democratic victory was imminent (see Chapter 2 of Bill Sammon's "At Any Cost").
However, the fact that the system has gone 37 for 37 so far is reason enough to read this book.
Lichtman closes by offering advice based on the keys. Since elections turn on big issues (war and peace, the economy, etc.) that largely cannot be whitewashed to seem different than they actually are, he suggests that candidates refrain from negative campaigning. He also advises that parties abandon ideological posturing, as when parties move to the center--a stinging rebuke to the Republicans of 2008, who seem to think that the way to win is to move leftward on global warming, immigration, the environment, etc.
Political junkies anywhere on the political spectrum--conservative, moderate, or liberal--will devour this book the way little kids devour chocolate and hard-boiled eggs on Easter morning.
The Keys to the white house works!!! April 29, 2007
Terrond Green (East Hartford, CT,USA)
i first came upon the "keys" on a visit to the my local library in 1991 and was astounded. in 1992 i followed the keys in the book and it perdicted bill clinton's win that year. the first book was called"the 13 keys to the presidency" co-authored by allan litchman and ken decell.the second book on the keys is the above title by allan lichtman. over the course of the past 15 years i have called and emailed ken decell the co-author of the first book on his take on each election from 1992 to 2004. each pre-election perdiction well ahead of time was correct, even 2000 wich gore did win the popular vote. since it only accounts for the popular vote it does not take account of the electoral college votes wich happened 3 times in history(1876,1888, and 2000). if 5 or fewer keys are false the party that controls the white house that year. if 6 or more is false the out party wins. in 2004 pres. bush had 4 false keys against him, thus he won reelection. 2 more keys false he would have lost. and what is the perdiction for 2008. currently according to allan lichtman and ken decell as of april of 2007 the party in power as of now have 7 false keys against them, one more than necessary to perdict defeat of the republicans hold on the white house. don't take my word for it, go to your local library or book store to read for yourself(the keys to the white house,2005) by allan lichtman or the 13 keys to the presidency by allan lichtman and ken decell,1990). forgive me for some misspellings or some shaky grammar. writing is not my stong suit.
This book corrected the fateful re-election of Bush in 2004 December 8, 2004
mxpayn65 (Virginia Beach, VA)
1 out of 1 found this review helpful
Having read this book, one should understand that the 13 keys underline the important of the party out of power, in this case the Democrats, getting together in organization and party discipline in order to win more keys and thus the White House the next time around. In addition, while not mentioned, the Bob Shrum curse dominated the result of the 2000 Presidential election so Gore won the popular vote with the help of the keys but lost the electoral college to Bush thanks IN PART to the "Bob Shrum Curse". Look for the article written by the author's wife Karyn Strickler "The Keys to the White House vs. the Shrum Curse: What Really Happened in 2002 & What to Expect in 2004".
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